Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 369.354456 419.820540 476.116395 543.835944 623.434728 714.447607 826.988547
2025-08-31 290.199498 354.658647 433.172215 536.880190 671.814482 843.585457 1082.293622
2025-09-07 250.922223 321.191219 411.789512 539.128079 716.691917 960.424656 1329.094127
2025-09-14 218.544527 289.895973 386.044136 527.989609 737.298541 1043.023439 1539.829068
2025-09-21 196.734522 269.032841 370.232396 526.191577 767.871686 1141.297180 1789.746701
2025-09-28 173.550477 243.129087 343.522689 503.706034 762.244864 1180.876507 1949.995073
2025-10-05 165.108146 237.346515 345.033682 523.466863 824.675211 1338.647827 2345.689813
2025-10-12 158.796142 233.850007 349.223367 547.396356 896.740923 1524.325136 2835.869996
2025-10-19 148.920341 223.739979 341.735940 550.654215 932.811651 1650.621960 3238.609448
2025-10-26 137.046312 209.316524 325.727827 537.116516 936.022753 1714.315084 3523.291173
2025-11-02 127.377471 197.605772 313.026873 527.759928 945.377514 1791.070514 3855.704714
2025-11-09 122.827692 193.926783 313.471747 542.119309 1002.529348 1976.286705 4496.455279
2025-11-16 115.665963 185.431633 305.091170 539.604141 1026.652700 2097.862485 5022.632181
2025-11-23 108.232953 175.911160 294.089014 530.878310 1036.778447 2190.532681 5503.499287
2025-11-30 103.129880 170.041887 289.103593 533.318091 1071.109795 2346.615280 6217.781910
2025-12-07 96.712094 161.336291 278.111124 522.296948 1073.698249 2425.199308 6725.409467
2025-12-14 92.040727 155.452314 271.920810 520.525261 1097.264603 2562.278378 7473.074408
2025-12-21 85.317887 145.341917 256.850843 498.328079 1069.322249 2557.173864 7736.183844
2025-12-28 83.925058 145.060741 260.847627 517.835334 1145.761785 2856.015665 9219.104722
2026-01-04 82.994836 145.568512 266.416213 541.455168 1236.588053 3219.514263 11140.739357
2026-01-11 80.005341 141.892555 263.205460 544.670660 1274.897801 3434.825166 12567.851697
2026-01-18 75.627018 135.225434 253.337624 531.308686 1266.662930 3501.884639 13372.937863
2026-01-25 71.946006 129.722535 245.518432 522.073042 1268.628717 3603.602234 14401.792692